Research

The AI Productivity Paradox: Why Experienced Developers Are Slowing Down

There’s something strange happening in software development right now, and I think we need to talk about it.

Recent research has surfaced a troubling finding: experienced developers working on complex systems are actually 19% slower when using AI coding tools—despite perceiving themselves as working faster. This isn’t a minor discrepancy. It’s a fundamental disconnect between how productive we feel and how productive we actually are.

As someone who’s been experimenting with AI tools extensively (and writing about the results), this finding resonates with my experience. Let me break down what’s happening and what it means for engineering teams.